Value bet: Deportivo Cuenca to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTecnico Universitario to win ✓38% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.39
Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Tecnico Universitario take on Deportivo Cuenca on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Bellavista. Tecnico Universitario are 15th with 37 points from 36 games, while Deportivo Cuenca sit 11th on 47 points.
Form guide
Tecnico Universitario's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Guayaquil City FC 2–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Deportivo Cuenca's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Mushuc Runa SC 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Tecnico Universitario and 1.1 for Deportivo Cuenca. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Deportivo Cuenca to win at 3.25 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.86, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tecnico Universitario 1–1 Deportivo Cuenca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tecnico Universitario38%fair 2.64 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @2.75
Deportivo Cuenca36%fair 2.77 · @3.25
2.19Expected goals
1.11Tecnico Universitario xG
1.08Deportivo Cuenca xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Tecnico Universitario 1.1 – 1.1 Deportivo Cuenca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tecnico Universitario to win✓
38%
2.64
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tecnico Universitario / FT Tecnico Universitario✓
20%
4.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.39
–
Form
Tecnico Universitario – last 6
LLLLWL
22 Aug
vs Guayaquil City FC
2–3
L
16 Aug
@ Emelec
1–2
L
10 Aug
vs Mushuc Runa SC
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Universidad Catolica
0–5
L
26 Jul
vs Manta FC
1–0
W
22 Jul
@ Independiente del Valle
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Deportivo Cuenca – last 6
DLLLWL
22 Aug
vs Mushuc Runa SC
0–0
D
16 Aug
@ Orense SC
0–2
L
11 Aug
vs Manta FC
1–2
L
2 Aug
@ Independiente del Valle
0–1
L
28 Jul
vs Emelec
2–1
W
22 Jul
@ Macara
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tecnico Universitario and Deportivo Cuenca.
What is the prediction for Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca?
On our numbers Tecnico Universitario have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportivo Cuenca 36%.
How many goals will there be in Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our predicted score is Tecnico Universitario 1–1 Deportivo Cuenca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
