Guayaquil City FC vs LDU de Quito prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: LDU de Quito to win @ 2.08 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLDU de Quito to win ✗51% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.55
Guayaquil City FC vs LDU de Quito preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Guayaquil City FC take on LDU de Quito on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT). Guayaquil City FC are 8th with 48 points from 36 games, while LDU de Quito sit 4th on 54 points.
Form guide
Guayaquil City FC's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Tecnico Universitario 3–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
LDU de Quito's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Aucas 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
LDU de Quito arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.8 for Guayaquil City FC and 1.3 for LDU de Quito. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Guayaquil City FC 27%, draw 22%, LDU de Quito 51%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.90.
Value angle: LDU de Quito to win at 2.08 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Guayaquil City FC 0–1 LDU de Quito. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guayaquil City FC27%fair 3.72 · @3.50
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
LDU de Quito51%fair 1.95 · @2.08
2.16Expected goals
0.84Guayaquil City FC xG
1.32LDU de Quito xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
0–210%
1–010%
1–28%
From our goals model: Guayaquil City FC 0.8 – 1.3 LDU de Quito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
LDU de Quito to win✗
51%
1.95
2.08 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT LDU de Quito / FT LDU de Quito✗
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.55
–
Form
Guayaquil City FC – last 6
WDDLDD
22 Aug
@ Tecnico Universitario
3–2
W
15 Aug
vs Libertad
2–2
D
10 Aug
vs Emelec
0–0
D
2 Aug
@ Macara
1–2
L
27 Jul
vs Universidad Catolica
0–0
D
23 Jul
@ Leones del Norte
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
LDU de Quito – last 6
WWDWDL
26 Aug
vs Aucas
1–0
W
24 Aug
vs Emelec
2–0
W
20 Aug
vs Mirassol
0–0
D
17 Aug
@ Aucas
1–0
W
13 Aug
@ Mirassol
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Independiente del Valle
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guayaquil City FC and LDU de Quito.
What is the prediction for Guayaquil City FC vs LDU de Quito?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Guayaquil City FC vs LDU de Quito?
On our numbers Guayaquil City FC have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and LDU de Quito 51%.
How many goals will there be in Guayaquil City FC vs LDU de Quito?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guayaquil City FC vs LDU de Quito?
Our predicted score is Guayaquil City FC 0–1 LDU de Quito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Guayaquil City FC vs LDU de Quito?
Guayaquil City FC vs LDU de Quito (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
