Value bet: Mushuc Runa SC to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Cuenca to win ✗38% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.33
Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC preview and prediction
The match
Mushuc Runa SC travel to Alejandro Serrano Aguilar in the Liga Pro on Saturday 22 August (01:00 WAT) to face Deportivo Cuenca. Deportivo Cuenca are 11th with 47 points from 36 games, while Mushuc Runa SC sit 12th on 43 points.
Form guide
Deportivo Cuenca's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Orense SC 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Mushuc Runa SC's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Barcelona SC 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Mushuc Runa SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.2 for Mushuc Runa SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Mushuc Runa SC to win at 3.10 – 38% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 Mushuc Runa SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Cuenca38%fair 2.62 · @2.28
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
Mushuc Runa SC38%fair 2.65 · @3.10
2.43Expected goals
1.22Deportivo Cuenca xG
1.21Mushuc Runa SC xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Deportivo Cuenca 1.2 – 1.2 Mushuc Runa SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Cuenca to win✗
38%
2.62
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Cuenca / FT Deportivo Cuenca✗
21%
4.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.33
–
Form
Deportivo Cuenca – last 6
LLLWLL
16 Aug
@ Orense SC
0–2
L
11 Aug
vs Manta FC
1–2
L
2 Aug
@ Independiente del Valle
0–1
L
28 Jul
vs Emelec
2–1
W
22 Jul
@ Macara
0–3
L
18 Jul
vs Universidad Catolica
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mushuc Runa SC – last 6
DWWLDW
16 Aug
vs Barcelona SC
0–0
D
10 Aug
@ Tecnico Universitario
3–0
W
1 Aug
@ Manta FC
2–1
W
27 Jul
vs Libertad
0–2
L
24 Jul
@ Emelec
1–1
D
20 Jul
vs Orense SC
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Cuenca and Mushuc Runa SC.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC?
On our numbers Deportivo Cuenca have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mushuc Runa SC 38%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 Mushuc Runa SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
