Manta FC vs Leones del Norte prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Leones del Norte to win @ 2.64 – our chance 40% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeones del Norte to win ✓40% · @2.64
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.01
Manta FC vs Leones del Norte preview and prediction
The match
Manta FC host Leones del Norte in the Liga Pro on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Jocay. Manta FC are 16th with 33 points from 36 games, while Leones del Norte sit 9th on 47 points. A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Manta FC's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Deportivo Cuenca 2–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Leones del Norte's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Aucas 0–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Leones del Norte arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 April 2026, finished Leones del Norte 3–0 Manta FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Manta FC and 1.1 for Leones del Norte. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Manta FC 34%, draw 26%, Leones del Norte 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Leones del Norte to win at 2.64 – 40% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Manta FC 0–1 Leones del Norte. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Manta FC34%fair 2.95 · @2.82
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.98
Leones del Norte40%fair 2.48 · @2.64
2.01Expected goals
0.94Manta FC xG
1.07Leones del Norte xG
50%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Manta FC 0.9 – 1.1 Leones del Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Manta FC vs Leones del Norte?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Manta FC vs Leones del Norte?
On our numbers Manta FC have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Leones del Norte 40%.
How many goals will there be in Manta FC vs Leones del Norte?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manta FC vs Leones del Norte?
Our predicted score is Manta FC 0–1 Leones del Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Manta FC vs Leones del Norte?
Manta FC vs Leones del Norte (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jocay.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
