Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Libertad to win @ 4.10 – our chance 33% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +37%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuayaquil City FC to win ✗44% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.21
Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad preview and prediction
The match
Guayaquil City FC host Libertad in the Liga Pro on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 22:30 (WAT). Guayaquil City FC are 8th with 48 points from 36 games, while Libertad sit 7th on 51 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Guayaquil City FC's last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with Emelec 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Libertad's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Universidad Catolica 2–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Libertad arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 April 2026, finished Libertad 0–1 Guayaquil City FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Guayaquil City FC and 1.0 for Libertad. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Guayaquil City FC 44%, draw 22%, Libertad 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Libertad to win at 4.10 – 33% on our numbers against 24% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Guayaquil City FC 1–0 Libertad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guayaquil City FC44%fair 2.27 · @1.96
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.15
Libertad33%fair 2.99 · @4.10
2.13Expected goals
1.17Guayaquil City FC xG
0.96Libertad xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Guayaquil City FC 1.2 – 1.0 Libertad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad?
On our numbers Guayaquil City FC have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Libertad 33%.
How many goals will there be in Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad?
Our predicted score is Guayaquil City FC 1–0 Libertad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad?
Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
