Value bet: Mushuc Runa SC to win @ 2.62 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMushuc Runa SC to win ✓43% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.80
Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Tecnico Universitario take on Mushuc Runa SC on Monday 10 August, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Bellavista. Tecnico Universitario are 15th with 37 points from 36 games, while Mushuc Runa SC sit 12th on 43 points.
Form guide
Tecnico Universitario's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Universidad Catolica 0–5 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Mushuc Runa SC's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Manta FC 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Mushuc Runa SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Tecnico Universitario and 1.3 for Mushuc Runa SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Mushuc Runa SC to win at 2.62 – 43% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Tecnico Universitario 1–1 Mushuc Runa SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tecnico Universitario35%fair 2.89 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
Mushuc Runa SC43%fair 2.31 · @2.62
2.45Expected goals
1.13Tecnico Universitario xG
1.31Mushuc Runa SC xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Tecnico Universitario 1.1 – 1.3 Mushuc Runa SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mushuc Runa SC to win✓
43%
2.31
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mushuc Runa SC / FT Mushuc Runa SC✓
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.80
–
Form
Tecnico Universitario – last 6
LWLLLL
1 Aug
@ Universidad Catolica
0–5
L
26 Jul
vs Manta FC
1–0
W
22 Jul
@ Independiente del Valle
0–3
L
19 Jul
vs Aucas
0–1
L
15 Jul
@ Libertad
0–1
L
11 Jul
vs Macara
0–2
L
0.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mushuc Runa SC – last 6
WLDWLL
1 Aug
@ Manta FC
2–1
W
27 Jul
vs Libertad
0–2
L
24 Jul
@ Emelec
1–1
D
20 Jul
vs Orense SC
2–1
W
14 Jul
@ Macara
1–2
L
11 Jul
vs Independiente del Valle
1–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tecnico Universitario and Mushuc Runa SC.
What is the prediction for Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC?
On our numbers Tecnico Universitario have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mushuc Runa SC 43%.
How many goals will there be in Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our predicted score is Tecnico Universitario 1–1 Mushuc Runa SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 10 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
