LDU de Quito vs Independiente del Valle preview and prediction
The match
LDU de Quito host Independiente del Valle in the Liga Pro on Saturday 8 August, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado. LDU de Quito are 4th with 54 points from 36 games, while Independiente del Valle sit 1st on 84 points. A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
LDU de Quito's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Delfin SC 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Independiente del Valle's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Independiente del Valle arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for LDU de Quito and 1.4 for Independiente del Valle. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: LDU de Quito 34%, draw 22%, Independiente del Valle 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: LDU de Quito 1–1 Independiente del Valle. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
LDU de Quito34%fair 2.92 · @2.96
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.30
Independiente del Valle44%fair 2.28 · @2.32
2.58Expected goals
1.19LDU de Quito xG
1.39Independiente del Valle xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: LDU de Quito 1.2 – 1.4 Independiente del Valle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✓
44%
2.28
2.32
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✓
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.48
–
Form
LDU de Quito – last 6
WWWDLL
4 Aug
vs Delfin SC
2–1
W
30 Jul
vs Leones del Norte
6–0
W
27 Jul
@ Barcelona SC
1–0
W
23 Jul
@ Manta FC
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Leones del Norte
0–1
L
15 Jul
@ Universidad Catolica
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Independiente del Valle – last 6
WWWWWW
2 Aug
vs Deportivo Cuenca
1–0
W
30 Jul
vs Manta FC
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ Orense SC
3–2
W
22 Jul
vs Tecnico Universitario
3–0
W
20 Jul
vs Emelec
6–1
W
16 Jul
@ Aucas
3–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between LDU de Quito and Independiente del Valle.
What is the prediction for LDU de Quito vs Independiente del Valle?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win LDU de Quito vs Independiente del Valle?
On our numbers LDU de Quito have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Independiente del Valle 44%.
How many goals will there be in LDU de Quito vs Independiente del Valle?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LDU de Quito vs Independiente del Valle?
Our predicted score is LDU de Quito 1–1 Independiente del Valle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is LDU de Quito vs Independiente del Valle?
LDU de Quito vs Independiente del Valle (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
