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Liga Pro · Ecuador

Universidad Catolica vs Tecnico Universitario prediction & analysis

73%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.36Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultUniversidad Catolica to win ✓69% · @1.43
Double chanceUniversidad Catolica or draw ✓91% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.15

Universidad Catolica vs Tecnico Universitario preview and prediction

The match

Universidad Catolica host Tecnico Universitario in the Liga Pro on Saturday 1 August, with kick-off at 22:30 (WAT). Universidad Catolica are 3rd with 54 points from 36 games, while Tecnico Universitario sit 15th on 37 points. A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Universidad Catolica's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Guayaquil City FC 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Tecnico Universitario's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Manta FC 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.

Universidad Catolica arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Universidad Catolica and 0.6 for Tecnico Universitario. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 49%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Universidad Catolica 1–0 Tecnico Universitario. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Universidad Catolica69%fair 1.45 · @1.43
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @4.20
Tecnico Universitario9%fair 11.02 · @7.50
2.46Expected goals
1.90Universidad Catolica xG
0.56Tecnico Universitario xG
49%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–016%
2–015%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–09%

From our goals model: Universidad Catolica 1.9 – 0.6 Tecnico Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUniversidad Catolica to win ✓69%1.451.43
Double chanceUniversidad Catolica or draw ✓91%1.101.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.981.73
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.381.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.931.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.371.36
Half-time resultUniversidad Catolica ahead at half-time ✓48%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica ✓45%2.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.15–

Form

Universidad Catolica – last 6

DWWWLL
27 Jul@ Guayaquil City FC0–0D
22 Julvs Barcelona SC2–1W
18 Jul@ Deportivo Cuenca2–0W
15 Julvs LDU de Quito1–0W
10 Jul@ Leones del Norte0–1L
6 Julvs Mushuc Runa SC2–3L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Tecnico Universitario – last 6

WLLLLW
26 Julvs Manta FC1–0W
22 Jul@ Independiente del Valle0–3L
19 Julvs Aucas0–1L
15 Jul@ Libertad0–1L
11 Julvs Macara0–2L
7 Jul@ Orense SC2–1W
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Universidad Catolica and Tecnico Universitario.

Universidad Catolica vs Tecnico Universitario head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Universidad Catolica vs Tecnico Universitario?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Universidad Catolica vs Tecnico Universitario?

On our numbers Universidad Catolica have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tecnico Universitario 9%.

How many goals will there be in Universidad Catolica vs Tecnico Universitario?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Universidad Catolica vs Tecnico Universitario?

Our predicted score is Universidad Catolica 1–0 Tecnico Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Universidad Catolica vs Tecnico Universitario?

Universidad Catolica vs Tecnico Universitario (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.