Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓92% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14% · fair 7.09
Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Independiente del Valle take on Deportivo Cuenca on Sunday 2 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil. Independiente del Valle are 1st with 84 points from 35 games, while Deportivo Cuenca sit 11th on 47 points. A gap of 37 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Independiente del Valle's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Manta FC 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Cuenca's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Emelec 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Independiente del Valle arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.2 for Independiente del Valle and 0.6 for Deportivo Cuenca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Independiente del Valle 73%, draw 19%, Deportivo Cuenca 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.05.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Independiente del Valle 2–0 Deportivo Cuenca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independiente del Valle73%fair 1.37 · @1.31
Draw19%fair 5.37 · @4.75
Deportivo Cuenca8%fair 11.88 · @10.25
2.87Expected goals
2.23Independiente del Valle xG
0.64Deportivo Cuenca xG
51%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Independiente del Valle 2.2 – 0.6 Deportivo Cuenca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✓
73%
1.37
1.31
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Half-time result
Independiente del Valle ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✗
49%
2.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
7.09
–
Form
Independiente del Valle – last 6
WWWWWW
30 Jul
vs Manta FC
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ Orense SC
3–2
W
22 Jul
vs Tecnico Universitario
3–0
W
20 Jul
vs Emelec
6–1
W
16 Jul
@ Aucas
3–0
W
11 Jul
@ Mushuc Runa SC
4–1
W
3.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Deportivo Cuenca – last 6
WLLDLL
28 Jul
vs Emelec
2–1
W
22 Jul
@ Macara
0–3
L
18 Jul
vs Universidad Catolica
0–2
L
15 Jul
@ Leones del Norte
1–1
D
12 Jul
vs Aucas
0–1
L
5 Jul
@ Barcelona SC
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente del Valle and Deportivo Cuenca.
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca?
On our numbers Independiente del Valle have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Deportivo Cuenca 8%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our predicted score is Independiente del Valle 2–0 Deportivo Cuenca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
