Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Aucas to win @ 3.30 – our chance 36% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEmelec to win ✗40% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.85
Emelec vs Aucas preview and prediction
The match
Emelec host Aucas in the Liga Pro on Sunday 2 August, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio George Capwell. Emelec are 10th with 45 points from 36 games, while Aucas sit 5th on 54 points.
Form guide
Emelec's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Deportivo Cuenca 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Aucas's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Macara 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Aucas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 April 2026, finished Aucas 2–0 Emelec.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Emelec and 1.1 for Aucas. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Emelec 40%, draw 24%, Aucas 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Aucas to win at 3.30 – 36% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Emelec 1–1 Aucas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Emelec40%fair 2.51 · @2.22
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.15
Aucas36%fair 2.79 · @3.30
2.18Expected goals
1.13Emelec xG
1.05Aucas xG
55%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Emelec 1.1 – 1.1 Aucas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Emelec vs Aucas?
On our numbers Emelec have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Aucas 36%.
How many goals will there be in Emelec vs Aucas?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emelec vs Aucas?
Our predicted score is Emelec 1–1 Aucas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Emelec vs Aucas?
Emelec vs Aucas (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio George Capwell.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
