Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLDU de Quito to win ✗57% · @1.80
Double chanceLDU de Quito or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.91
Manta FC vs LDU de Quito preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Manta FC take on LDU de Quito on Thursday 23 July, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Jocay. Manta FC are 16th with 33 points from 36 games, while LDU de Quito sit 4th on 54 points. A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Manta FC's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Guayaquil City FC 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
LDU de Quito's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Leones del Norte 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished LDU de Quito 1–0 Manta FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.7 for Manta FC and 1.4 for LDU de Quito. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Manta FC 17%, draw 26%, LDU de Quito 57%.
Safer route: LDU de Quito or draw (83%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Manta FC 0–1 LDU de Quito. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Manta FC17%fair 5.87 · @4.60
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.35
LDU de Quito57%fair 1.74 · @1.80
2.10Expected goals
0.72Manta FC xG
1.39LDU de Quito xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–012%
1–112%
0–212%
1–09%
1–28%
From our goals model: Manta FC 0.7 – 1.4 LDU de Quito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Manta FC vs LDU de Quito?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Manta FC vs LDU de Quito?
On our numbers Manta FC have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 26% and LDU de Quito 57%.
How many goals will there be in Manta FC vs LDU de Quito?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manta FC vs LDU de Quito?
Our predicted score is Manta FC 0–1 LDU de Quito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Manta FC vs LDU de Quito?
Manta FC vs LDU de Quito (Liga Pro) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jocay.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
