Independiente del Valle vs Tecnico Universitario prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndependiente del Valle to win ✓70% · @1.20
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓86% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.93
Independiente del Valle vs Tecnico Universitario preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Independiente del Valle take on Tecnico Universitario on Wednesday 22 July, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil. Independiente del Valle are 1st with 84 points from 35 games, while Tecnico Universitario sit 15th on 37 points. A gap of 47 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Independiente del Valle's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Emelec 6–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tecnico Universitario's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Aucas 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Independiente del Valle arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Independiente del Valle and 0.8 for Tecnico Universitario. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Independiente del Valle 70%, draw 15%, Tecnico Universitario 14%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Independiente del Valle 2–0 Tecnico Universitario. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independiente del Valle70%fair 1.42 · @1.20
Draw15%fair 6.47 · @5.75
Tecnico Universitario14%fair 7.11 · @15.50
2.88Expected goals
2.11Independiente del Valle xG
0.76Tecnico Universitario xG
50%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Independiente del Valle 2.1 – 0.8 Tecnico Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✓
70%
1.42
1.20
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.50
Half-time result
Independiente del Valle ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✓
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.93
–
Form
Independiente del Valle – last 6
WWWWWW
20 Jul
vs Emelec
6–1
W
16 Jul
@ Aucas
3–0
W
11 Jul
@ Mushuc Runa SC
4–1
W
8 Jul
@ Santo Domingo
2–0
W
4 Jul
vs Manta FC
4–0
W
31 May
@ Guayaquil City FC
4–2
W
3.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Tecnico Universitario – last 6
LLLWWL
19 Jul
vs Aucas
0–1
L
15 Jul
@ Libertad
0–1
L
11 Jul
vs Macara
0–2
L
7 Jul
@ Orense SC
2–1
W
2 Jun
vs Barcelona SC
1–0
W
29 May
@ Cde Juventud Italiana
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente del Valle and Tecnico Universitario.
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Tecnico Universitario?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Tecnico Universitario?
On our numbers Independiente del Valle have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Tecnico Universitario 14%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente del Valle vs Tecnico Universitario?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente del Valle vs Tecnico Universitario?
Our predicted score is Independiente del Valle 2–0 Tecnico Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Independiente del Valle vs Tecnico Universitario?
Independiente del Valle vs Tecnico Universitario (Liga Pro) kicks off on Wednesday 22 July 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
