LDU de Quito vs Leones del Norte preview and prediction
The match
LDU de Quito host Leones del Norte in the Liga Pro on Saturday 18 July, with kick-off at 22:30 (WAT) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado. LDU de Quito are 4th with 54 points from 36 games, while Leones del Norte sit 9th on 47 points.
Form guide
LDU de Quito's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Universidad Catolica 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Leones del Norte's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Leones del Norte arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 March 2026, finished Leones del Norte 0–2 LDU de Quito.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for LDU de Quito and 0.7 for Leones del Norte. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: LDU de Quito 64%, draw 18%, Leones del Norte 18%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: LDU de Quito 1–0 Leones del Norte. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
LDU de Quito64%fair 1.57 · @1.47
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @4.10
Leones del Norte18%fair 5.48 · @6.80
2.30Expected goals
1.63LDU de Quito xG
0.67Leones del Norte xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: LDU de Quito 1.6 – 0.7 Leones del Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for LDU de Quito vs Leones del Norte?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win LDU de Quito vs Leones del Norte?
On our numbers LDU de Quito have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Leones del Norte 18%.
How many goals will there be in LDU de Quito vs Leones del Norte?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LDU de Quito vs Leones del Norte?
Our predicted score is LDU de Quito 1–0 Leones del Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is LDU de Quito vs Leones del Norte?
LDU de Quito vs Leones del Norte (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
