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Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar

Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Catolica prediction & analysis

77%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultUniversidad Catolica to win ✓41% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.70

Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Catolica preview and prediction

The match

Universidad Catolica travel to Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar in the Liga Pro on Saturday 18 July (20:00 WAT) to face Deportivo Cuenca. Deportivo Cuenca are 11th with 47 points from 36 games, while Universidad Catolica sit 3rd on 54 points.

Form guide

Deportivo Cuenca's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Leones del Norte 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.

Universidad Catolica's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat LDU de Quito 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 17 March 2026, finished Universidad Catolica 1–0 Deportivo Cuenca.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.2 for Universidad Catolica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 58%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 Universidad Catolica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Deportivo Cuenca36%fair 2.81 · @2.60
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Universidad Catolica41%fair 2.47 · @2.60
2.38Expected goals
1.14Deportivo Cuenca xG
1.24Universidad Catolica xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Deportivo Cuenca 1.1 – 1.2 Universidad Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUniversidad Catolica to win ✓41%2.472.60 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.721.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.451.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.771.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.25
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica ✓22%4.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%8.70–

Form

Deportivo Cuenca – last 6

DLLWLD
15 Jul@ Leones del Norte1–1D
12 Julvs Aucas0–1L
5 Jul@ Barcelona SC0–2L
31 Mayvs Delfin SC1–0W
27 May@ Santos0–3L
24 Mayvs LDU de Quito1–1D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Universidad Catolica – last 6

WLLLWL
15 Julvs LDU de Quito1–0W
10 Jul@ Leones del Norte0–1L
6 Julvs Mushuc Runa SC2–3L
1 Jun@ Emelec0–1L
29 May@ El Nacional4–1W
13 Mayvs Independiente del Valle0–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Mar 2026Universidad Catolica v Deportivo Cuenca1–0
Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Catolica head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Catolica?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Catolica?

On our numbers Deportivo Cuenca have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Universidad Catolica 41%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Catolica?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Catolica?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 Universidad Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Catolica?

Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.