Thursday, 12 November 2026 5 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne
1–0
FT

Libertad vs Tecnico Universitario prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLibertad to win ✓45% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.48

Libertad vs Tecnico Universitario preview and prediction

The match

Libertad host Tecnico Universitario in the Liga Pro on Wednesday 15 July, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne. Libertad are 7th with 51 points from 36 games, while Tecnico Universitario sit 15th on 37 points. A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Libertad's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with LDU de Quito 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Tecnico Universitario's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Macara 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 13 March 2026, finished Tecnico Universitario 2–1 Libertad.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.5 for Libertad and 0.9 for Tecnico Universitario. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Libertad 1–0 Tecnico Universitario. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Libertad45%fair 2.20 · @2.32
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.25
Tecnico Universitario30%fair 3.29 · @3.00
2.42Expected goals
1.51Libertad xG
0.91Tecnico Universitario xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%

From our goals model: Libertad 1.5 – 0.9 Tecnico Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLibertad to win ✓45%2.202.32 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.841.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.441.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.25
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Libertad / FT Libertad ✗31%3.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13%7.48–

Form

Libertad – last 6

DLLWLW
12 Jul@ LDU de Quito0–0D
4 Julvs Leones del Norte1–3L
30 May@ Manta FC1–2L
23 May@ Independiente del Valle3–2W
16 Mayvs Deportivo Cuenca0–1L
2 Mayvs Aucas3–2W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Tecnico Universitario – last 6

LWWLWL
11 Julvs Macara0–2L
7 Jul@ Orense SC2–1W
2 Junvs Barcelona SC1–0W
29 May@ Cde Juventud Italiana0–2L
24 Mayvs Leones del Norte2–1W
22 Aprvs Emelec0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Mar 2026Tecnico Universitario v Libertad2–1
Libertad vs Tecnico Universitario head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

More Liga Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Libertad vs Tecnico Universitario?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Libertad vs Tecnico Universitario?

On our numbers Libertad have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tecnico Universitario 30%.

How many goals will there be in Libertad vs Tecnico Universitario?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Libertad vs Tecnico Universitario?

Our predicted score is Libertad 1–0 Tecnico Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Libertad vs Tecnico Universitario?

Libertad vs Tecnico Universitario (Liga Pro) kicks off on Wednesday 15 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.