Leones del Norte vs Deportivo Cuenca prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeones del Norte to win ✗43% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.94
Leones del Norte vs Deportivo Cuenca preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Leones del Norte take on Deportivo Cuenca on Wednesday 15 July, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra. Leones del Norte are 9th with 47 points from 36 games, while Deportivo Cuenca sit 11th on 47 points. Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Leones del Norte's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Universidad Catolica 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Deportivo Cuenca's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Aucas 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Leones del Norte arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 March 2026, finished Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 Leones del Norte.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Leones del Norte and 0.9 for Deportivo Cuenca. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leones del Norte 43%, draw 27%, Deportivo Cuenca 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 54% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Leones del Norte 1–0 Deportivo Cuenca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leones del Norte43%fair 2.34 · @2.35
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.05
Deportivo Cuenca30%fair 3.32 · @3.15
2.13Expected goals
1.21Leones del Norte xG
0.92Deportivo Cuenca xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Leones del Norte 1.2 – 0.9 Deportivo Cuenca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Leones del Norte vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Leones del Norte vs Deportivo Cuenca?
On our numbers Leones del Norte have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportivo Cuenca 30%.
How many goals will there be in Leones del Norte vs Deportivo Cuenca?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones del Norte vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our predicted score is Leones del Norte 1–0 Deportivo Cuenca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Leones del Norte vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Leones del Norte vs Deportivo Cuenca (Liga Pro) kicks off on Wednesday 15 July 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
