Independiente del Valle vs Manta FC prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndependiente del Valle to win ✓76% · @1.19
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓92% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗16% · fair 6.39
Independiente del Valle vs Manta FC preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Independiente del Valle take on Manta FC on Saturday 4 July, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil. Independiente del Valle are 1st with 84 points from 35 games, while Manta FC sit 16th on 33 points. A gap of 51 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Independiente del Valle's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Guayaquil City FC 4–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Manta FC's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Libertad 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Independiente del Valle arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 March 2026, finished Manta FC 0–2 Independiente del Valle.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.2 for Independiente del Valle and 0.5 for Manta FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Independiente del Valle 76%, draw 15%, Manta FC 8%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Independiente del Valle 2–0 Manta FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independiente del Valle76%fair 1.31 · @1.19
Draw15%fair 6.52 · @5.90
Manta FC8%fair 12.06 · @17.00
2.74Expected goals
2.20Independiente del Valle xG
0.54Manta FC xG
47%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–016%
1–014%
3–011%
2–18%
1–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Independiente del Valle 2.2 – 0.5 Manta FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✓
76%
1.31
1.19
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.55
Half-time result
Independiente del Valle ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✓
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Manta FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Manta FC?
On our numbers Independiente del Valle have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Manta FC 8%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente del Valle vs Manta FC?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente del Valle vs Manta FC?
Our predicted score is Independiente del Valle 2–0 Manta FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Independiente del Valle vs Manta FC?
Independiente del Valle vs Manta FC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
