Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
1
Value bet: Leones del Norte to win @ 2.98 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeones del Norte to win ✗38% · @2.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.95
Leones del Norte vs Macara preview and prediction
The match
Macara travel to Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra in the Liga Pro on Monday 1 June (23:00 WAT) to face Leones del Norte. Leones del Norte are 9th with 47 points from 36 games, while Macara sit 2nd on 67 points. A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Leones del Norte's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Huaquillas 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Macara's last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with America de Cali 0–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Leones del Norte arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Macara 0–0 Leones del Norte.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Leones del Norte and 1.1 for Macara. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leones del Norte 38%, draw 25%, Macara 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Leones del Norte to win at 2.98 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Leones del Norte 1–1 Macara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leones del Norte38%fair 2.66 · @2.98
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.10
Macara37%fair 2.69 · @2.44
2.15Expected goals
1.08Leones del Norte xG
1.07Macara xG
55%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Leones del Norte 1.1 – 1.1 Macara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Leones del Norte vs Macara?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Leones del Norte vs Macara?
On our numbers Leones del Norte have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Macara 37%.
How many goals will there be in Leones del Norte vs Macara?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones del Norte vs Macara?
Our predicted score is Leones del Norte 1–1 Macara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Leones del Norte vs Macara?
Leones del Norte vs Macara (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 1 June 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
