Emelec vs Universidad Catolica preview and prediction
The match
Universidad Catolica travel to Estadio George Capwell in the Liga Pro on Monday 1 June (00:10 WAT) to face Emelec. Emelec are 10th with 45 points from 36 games, while Universidad Catolica sit 3rd on 54 points.
Form guide
Emelec's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Macara 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Universidad Catolica's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat El Nacional 4–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Emelec arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 April 2026, finished Universidad Catolica 1–1 Emelec.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Emelec and 1.2 for Universidad Catolica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Emelec 37%, draw 24%, Universidad Catolica 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Emelec 1–1 Universidad Catolica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Emelec37%fair 2.73 · @2.76
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Universidad Catolica39%fair 2.54 · @2.48
2.35Expected goals
1.15Emelec xG
1.20Universidad Catolica xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Emelec 1.1 – 1.2 Universidad Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad Catolica to win✗
39%
2.54
2.48
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica✗
What is the prediction for Emelec vs Universidad Catolica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Emelec vs Universidad Catolica?
On our numbers Emelec have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Universidad Catolica 39%.
How many goals will there be in Emelec vs Universidad Catolica?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emelec vs Universidad Catolica?
Our predicted score is Emelec 1–1 Universidad Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Emelec vs Universidad Catolica?
Emelec vs Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 1 June 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio George Capwell.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
