Libertad vs Deportivo Cuenca prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Deportivo Cuenca to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLibertad to win ✗40% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.49
Libertad vs Deportivo Cuenca preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Cuenca travel to Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne in the Liga Pro on Saturday 16 May (01:00 WAT) to face Libertad. Libertad are 7th with 51 points from 36 games, while Deportivo Cuenca sit 11th on 47 points.
Form guide
Libertad's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Aucas 3–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Deportivo Cuenca's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with San Lorenzo 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 March 2026, finished Deportivo Cuenca 3–0 Libertad.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Libertad and 1.1 for Deportivo Cuenca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Deportivo Cuenca to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Libertad 1–1 Deportivo Cuenca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Libertad40%fair 2.50 · @2.28
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
Deportivo Cuenca36%fair 2.79 · @3.10
2.35Expected goals
1.22Libertad xG
1.13Deportivo Cuenca xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Libertad 1.2 – 1.1 Deportivo Cuenca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Libertad vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Libertad vs Deportivo Cuenca?
On our numbers Libertad have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo Cuenca 36%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad vs Deportivo Cuenca?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our predicted score is Libertad 1–1 Deportivo Cuenca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Libertad vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Libertad vs Deportivo Cuenca (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
