Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Aucas to win @ 3.25 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarcelona SC to win ✓41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.98
Barcelona SC vs Aucas preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Barcelona SC take on Aucas on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha. Barcelona SC are 6th with 49 points from 35 games, while Aucas sit 5th on 54 points.
Form guide
Barcelona SC's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Insutec 4–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Aucas's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Libertad 2–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Aucas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Barcelona SC and 1.1 for Aucas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 49%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barcelona SC 41%, draw 24%, Aucas 35%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Aucas to win at 3.25 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Barcelona SC 1–1 Aucas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barcelona SC41%fair 2.47 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
Aucas35%fair 2.83 · @3.25
2.23Expected goals
1.17Barcelona SC xG
1.06Aucas xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Barcelona SC 1.2 – 1.1 Aucas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barcelona SC to win✓
41%
2.47
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barcelona SC / FT Barcelona SC✓
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.98
–
Form
Barcelona SC – last 6
WLWDLD
12 May
@ Insutec
4–2
W
10 May
@ Independiente del Valle
0–1
L
6 May
vs Boca Juniors
1–0
W
3 May
vs Manta FC
1–1
D
30 Apr
vs U. Catolica
1–2
L
27 Apr
@ Orense SC
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Aucas – last 6
LWDWWW
2 May
@ Libertad
2–3
L
28 Apr
vs Delfin SC
1–0
W
23 Apr
@ LDU de Quito
0–0
D
17 Apr
@ Leones del Norte
1–0
W
13 Apr
vs Emelec
2–0
W
6 Apr
@ Macara
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barcelona SC and Aucas.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Barcelona SC vs Aucas?
On our numbers Barcelona SC have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Aucas 35%.
How many goals will there be in Barcelona SC vs Aucas?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barcelona SC vs Aucas?
Our predicted score is Barcelona SC 1–1 Aucas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Barcelona SC vs Aucas?
Barcelona SC vs Aucas (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
