Independiente del Valle vs Barcelona SC prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Independiente del Valle to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.52 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.52Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndependiente del Valle to win ✓67% · @1.52
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 6.97
Independiente del Valle vs Barcelona SC preview and prediction
The match
Barcelona SC travel to Estadio Banco Guayaquil in the Liga Pro on Sunday 10 May (01:00 WAT) to face Independiente del Valle. Independiente del Valle are 1st with 84 points from 35 games, while Barcelona SC sit 6th on 49 points. A gap of 35 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Independiente del Valle's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to UCV 0–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Barcelona SC's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Boca Juniors 1–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Independiente del Valle arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Independiente del Valle and 0.7 for Barcelona SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Independiente del Valle 67%, draw 18%, Barcelona SC 14%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Independiente del Valle to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.52, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Independiente del Valle 1–0 Barcelona SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independiente del Valle67%fair 1.48 · @1.52
Draw18%fair 5.46 · @3.95
Barcelona SC14%fair 7.02 · @6.40
2.58Expected goals
1.89Independiente del Valle xG
0.69Barcelona SC xG
49%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Independiente del Valle 1.9 – 0.7 Barcelona SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✓
67%
1.48
1.52
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.36
Half-time result
Independiente del Valle ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
6.97
–
Form
Independiente del Valle – last 6
LWWWWD
6 May
@ UCV
0–2
L
1 May
@ Universidad Catolica
3–2
W
28 Apr
@ Libertad Asuncion
3–2
W
22 Apr
@ Delfin SC
1–0
W
16 Apr
vs UCV
3–1
W
9 Apr
@ Rosario Central
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Barcelona SC – last 6
WDLDWL
6 May
vs Boca Juniors
1–0
W
3 May
vs Manta FC
1–1
D
30 Apr
vs U. Catolica
1–2
L
27 Apr
@ Orense SC
1–1
D
23 Apr
vs Mushuc Runa SC
2–1
W
20 Apr
@ Macara
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente del Valle and Barcelona SC.
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Barcelona SC?
Our pick is Independiente del Valle to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.52.
Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Barcelona SC?
On our numbers Independiente del Valle have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Barcelona SC 14%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente del Valle vs Barcelona SC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente del Valle vs Barcelona SC?
Our predicted score is Independiente del Valle 1–0 Barcelona SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Independiente del Valle vs Barcelona SC?
Independiente del Valle vs Barcelona SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
