Value bet: Mushuc Runa SC to win @ 3.15 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultMushuc Runa SC to win38% · @3.15
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–114% · fair 7.19
Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC preview and prediction
The match
Mushuc Runa SC travel to Estadio Jocay in the Liga Pro on Sunday 3 May (21:30 WAT) to face Delfin SC. Delfin SC are 14th with 38 points from 36 games, while Mushuc Runa SC sit 12th on 43 points.
Form guide
Delfin SC's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Aucas 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Mushuc Runa SC's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Barcelona SC 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Delfin SC and 1.0 for Mushuc Runa SC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Mushuc Runa SC to win at 3.15 – 38% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Delfin SC 0–0 Mushuc Runa SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Delfin SC37%fair 2.70 · @2.35
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.05
Mushuc Runa SC38%fair 2.66 · @3.15
1.95Expected goals
0.97Delfin SC xG
0.98Mushuc Runa SC xG
51%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–014%
0–114%
1–014%
1–114%
0–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Delfin SC 1.0 – 1.0 Mushuc Runa SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mushuc Runa SC to win
38%
2.66
3.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.95
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
61%
1.64
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
65%
1.53
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
83%
1.20
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
14%
7.19
–
Form
Delfin SC – last 6
LLDWLL
28 Apr
@ Aucas
0–1
L
22 Apr
vs Independiente del Valle
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Orense SC
0–0
D
11 Apr
vs LDU de Quito
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Leones del Norte
0–1
L
18 Mar
@ Macara
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Mushuc Runa SC – last 5
LDWLD
23 Apr
@ Barcelona SC
1–2
L
7 Apr
@ Libertad
2–2
D
23 Mar
vs Emelec
2–0
W
19 Mar
@ Orense SC
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Macara
0–0
D
1.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Delfin SC and Mushuc Runa SC.
What is the prediction for Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?
On our numbers Delfin SC have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mushuc Runa SC 38%.
How many goals will there be in Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our predicted score is Delfin SC 0–0 Mushuc Runa SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jocay.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
