Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Deportivo Cuenca to win @ 2.56 – our chance 46% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Cuenca to win46% · @2.56
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–115% · fair 6.74
Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca preview and prediction
The match
Manta FC host Deportivo Cuenca in the Liga Pro on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Jocay. Manta FC are 16th with 33 points from 36 games, while Deportivo Cuenca sit 11th on 47 points. A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Manta FC's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to LDU de Quito 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Deportivo Cuenca's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to San Lorenzo 0–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Cuenca arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.9 for Manta FC and 1.2 for Deportivo Cuenca. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Manta FC 32%, draw 22%, Deportivo Cuenca 46%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Deportivo Cuenca to win at 2.56 – 46% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Manta FC 0–1 Deportivo Cuenca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Manta FC32%fair 3.17 · @2.74
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.15
Deportivo Cuenca46%fair 2.17 · @2.56
2.07Expected goals
0.89Manta FC xG
1.18Deportivo Cuenca xG
44%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–013%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Manta FC 0.9 – 1.2 Deportivo Cuenca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Cuenca to win
46%
2.17
2.56 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
56%
1.80
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
64%
1.55
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
61%
1.63
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
81%
1.24
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Cuenca / FT Deportivo Cuenca
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
15%
6.74
–
Form
Manta FC – last 5
LLDLL
22 Mar
@ LDU de Quito
0–1
L
18 Mar
vs Guayaquil City FC
0–1
L
10 Mar
@ Orense SC
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Independiente del Valle
0–2
L
24 Feb
@ Libertad
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Deportivo Cuenca – last 6
LWWLDW
17 Apr
@ San Lorenzo
0–2
L
8 Apr
vs Santos
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Emelec
2–0
W
17 Mar
@ Universidad Catolica
0–1
L
14 Mar
vs Leones del Norte
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Aucas
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manta FC and Deportivo Cuenca.
What is the prediction for Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca?
On our numbers Manta FC have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Deportivo Cuenca 46%.
How many goals will there be in Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our predicted score is Manta FC 0–1 Deportivo Cuenca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jocay.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
