Universidad Catolica vs Guayaquil City FC prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.36
9/10Rating
1.36Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultUniversidad Catolica to win71% · @1.41
Double chanceUniversidad Catolica or draw89% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–022% · fair 4.59
Universidad Catolica vs Guayaquil City FC preview and prediction
The match
Guayaquil City FC travel to face Universidad Catolica in the Liga Pro on Saturday 4 April (22:30 WAT). Universidad Catolica are 3rd with 54 points from 36 games, while Guayaquil City FC sit 8th on 48 points.
Form guide
Universidad Catolica's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Guayaquil City FC's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Leones del Norte 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.6 for Universidad Catolica and 0.4 for Guayaquil City FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 58% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Universidad Catolica 71%, draw 18%, Guayaquil City FC 11%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.36, above our fair price of 1.29, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Universidad Catolica 1–0 Guayaquil City FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Universidad Catolica71%fair 1.41 · @1.41
Draw18%fair 5.63 · @4.20
Guayaquil City FC11%fair 8.93 · @8.10
2.00Expected goals
1.62Universidad Catolica xG
0.39Guayaquil City FC xG
47%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
2–018%
0–013%
3–010%
1–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Universidad Catolica 1.6 – 0.4 Guayaquil City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad Catolica to win
71%
1.41
1.41
Double chance
Universidad Catolica or draw
89%
1.13
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
53%
1.90
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
67%
1.50
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
58%
1.72
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
78%
1.29
1.36 ▲
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica
42%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
22%
4.59
–
Form
Universidad Catolica – last 3
WDL
17 Mar
vs Deportivo Cuenca
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ LDU de Quito
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Juventud
3–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Guayaquil City FC – last 5
DWDLL
23 Mar
vs Leones del Norte
0–0
D
18 Mar
@ Manta FC
1–0
W
16 Mar
vs Barcelona SC
0–0
D
7 Mar
@ Delfin SC
0–1
L
23 Feb
@ Independiente del Valle
0–2
L
0.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Universidad Catolica and Guayaquil City FC.
What is the prediction for Universidad Catolica vs Guayaquil City FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Universidad Catolica vs Guayaquil City FC?
On our numbers Universidad Catolica have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Guayaquil City FC 11%.
How many goals will there be in Universidad Catolica vs Guayaquil City FC?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universidad Catolica vs Guayaquil City FC?
Our predicted score is Universidad Catolica 1–0 Guayaquil City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Universidad Catolica vs Guayaquil City FC?
Universidad Catolica vs Guayaquil City FC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
