Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLDU de Quito to win ✗62% · @1.65
Double chanceLDU de Quito or draw ✗87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.59
LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees LDU de Quito take on Barcelona SC on Saturday 4 April, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado. LDU de Quito are 4th with 54 points from 36 games, while Barcelona SC sit 6th on 49 points.
Form guide
LDU de Quito's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Manta FC 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Barcelona SC's last 5: DDWDL Most recently they drew with Libertad 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
LDU de Quito arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for LDU de Quito and 0.6 for Barcelona SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: LDU de Quito 62%, draw 25%, Barcelona SC 13%.
Safer route: LDU de Quito or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.36, above our fair price of 1.32, so there is value in it. Predicted score: LDU de Quito 1–0 Barcelona SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
LDU de Quito62%fair 1.60 · @1.65
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.80
Barcelona SC13%fair 7.88 · @5.00
2.20Expected goals
1.62LDU de Quito xG
0.58Barcelona SC xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: LDU de Quito 1.6 – 0.6 Barcelona SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
LDU de Quito to win✗
62%
1.60
1.65
Double chance
LDU de Quito or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT LDU de Quito / FT LDU de Quito✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.59
–
Form
LDU de Quito – last 6
WWDLLW
22 Mar
vs Manta FC
1–0
W
18 Mar
@ Leones del Norte
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Universidad Catolica
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Libertad
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Macara
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Orense SC
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Barcelona SC – last 6
DDWDLL
19 Mar
@ Libertad
0–0
D
16 Mar
@ Guayaquil City FC
0–0
D
11 Mar
@ Botafogo
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs Botafogo
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Deportivo Cuenca
1–2
L
19 Feb
vs Argentinos JRS
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between LDU de Quito and Barcelona SC.
What is the prediction for LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC?
On our numbers LDU de Quito have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Barcelona SC 13%.
How many goals will there be in LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC?
Our predicted score is LDU de Quito 1–0 Barcelona SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC?
LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
