Value bet: Delfin SC to win @ 3.85 – our chance 35% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +34%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeones del Norte to win ✓39% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.97
Leones del Norte vs Delfin SC preview and prediction
The match
Delfin SC travel to Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra in the Liga Pro on Sunday 5 April (19:00 WAT) to face Leones del Norte. Leones del Norte are 9th with 47 points from 36 games, while Delfin SC sit 14th on 38 points.
Form guide
Leones del Norte's last 4: DLDD Most recently they drew with Guayaquil City FC 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Delfin SC's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Macara 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Delfin SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.9 for Leones del Norte and 0.8 for Delfin SC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leones del Norte 39%, draw 26%, Delfin SC 35%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Delfin SC to win at 3.85 – 35% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Leones del Norte 0–0 Delfin SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leones del Norte39%fair 2.54 · @2.12
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.95
Delfin SC35%fair 2.87 · @3.85
1.63Expected goals
0.85Leones del Norte xG
0.78Delfin SC xG
44%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–020%
1–017%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Leones del Norte 0.9 – 0.8 Delfin SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leones del Norte to win✓
39%
2.54
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.12
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
27%
3.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
17%
5.97
–
Form
Leones del Norte – last 4
DLDD
23 Mar
@ Guayaquil City FC
0–0
D
18 Mar
vs LDU de Quito
0–2
L
14 Mar
@ Deportivo Cuenca
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Macara
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Delfin SC – last 5
LWDWW
18 Mar
@ Macara
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Guayaquil City FC
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Emelec
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Deportivo Cuenca
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs LDU Portoviejo
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leones del Norte and Delfin SC.
What is the prediction for Leones del Norte vs Delfin SC?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Leones del Norte vs Delfin SC?
On our numbers Leones del Norte have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Delfin SC 35%.
How many goals will there be in Leones del Norte vs Delfin SC?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones del Norte vs Delfin SC?
Our predicted score is Leones del Norte 0–0 Delfin SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Leones del Norte vs Delfin SC?
Leones del Norte vs Delfin SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
