Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Emelec to win @ 1.84 – our chance 65% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEmelec to win ✗65% · @1.84
Double chanceEmelec or draw ✗84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.29
Emelec vs Deportivo Cuenca preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Emelec take on Deportivo Cuenca on Sunday 5 April, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio George Capwell. Emelec are 10th with 45 points from 36 games, while Deportivo Cuenca sit 11th on 47 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Emelec's last 3: LWD Most recently they lost to Mushuc Runa SC 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Deportivo Cuenca's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Universidad Catolica 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for Emelec and 0.6 for Deportivo Cuenca. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Emelec to win at 1.84 – 65% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Emelec or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Emelec 1–0 Deportivo Cuenca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Emelec65%fair 1.55 · @1.84
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.35
Deportivo Cuenca16%fair 6.44 · @4.40
2.11Expected goals
1.56Emelec xG
0.55Deportivo Cuenca xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Emelec 1.6 – 0.6 Deportivo Cuenca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Emelec to win✗
65%
1.55
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Emelec or draw✗
84%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Emelec / FT Emelec✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.29
–
Form
Emelec – last 3
LWD
23 Mar
@ Mushuc Runa SC
0–2
L
20 Mar
vs Independiente del Valle
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Delfin SC
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Deportivo Cuenca – last 6
LDWWWL
17 Mar
@ Universidad Catolica
0–1
L
14 Mar
vs Leones del Norte
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Aucas
1–0
W
5 Mar
vs Libertad
3–0
W
1 Mar
vs Barcelona SC
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Delfin SC
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Emelec and Deportivo Cuenca.
What is the prediction for Emelec vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our pick is Emelec or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Emelec vs Deportivo Cuenca?
On our numbers Emelec have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Deportivo Cuenca 16%.
How many goals will there be in Emelec vs Deportivo Cuenca?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emelec vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our predicted score is Emelec 1–0 Deportivo Cuenca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Emelec vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Emelec vs Deportivo Cuenca (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio George Capwell.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
