Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente del Valle prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndependiente del Valle to win61% · @1.64
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–116% · fair 6.17
Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente del Valle preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Tecnico Universitario take on Independiente del Valle on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Bellavista. Tecnico Universitario are 15th with 37 points from 36 games, while Independiente del Valle sit 1st on 84 points. A gap of 47 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tecnico Universitario's last 4: WWDD Most recently they beat Aucas 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Independiente del Valle's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to Emelec 0–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.7 for Tecnico Universitario and 1.7 for Independiente del Valle. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tecnico Universitario 13%, draw 26%, Independiente del Valle 61%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 53% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Tecnico Universitario 0–1 Independiente del Valle. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tecnico Universitario13%fair 7.79 · @5.90
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.45
Independiente del Valle61%fair 1.63 · @1.64
2.35Expected goals
0.65Tecnico Universitario xG
1.69Independiente del Valle xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–214%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: Tecnico Universitario 0.7 – 1.7 Independiente del Valle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win
61%
1.63
1.64
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.90
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
78%
1.28
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
16%
6.17
–
Form
Tecnico Universitario – last 4
WWDD
19 Mar
@ Aucas
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Libertad
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Macara
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs Orense SC
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Independiente del Valle – last 3
LWW
20 Mar
@ Emelec
0–2
L
3 Mar
@ Manta FC
2–0
W
23 Feb
vs Guayaquil City FC
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tecnico Universitario and Independiente del Valle.
What is the prediction for Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente del Valle?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente del Valle?
On our numbers Tecnico Universitario have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Independiente del Valle 61%.
How many goals will there be in Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente del Valle?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente del Valle?
Our predicted score is Tecnico Universitario 0–1 Independiente del Valle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente del Valle?
Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente del Valle (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
