Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.30
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
2
Value bet: Universidad Catolica to win @ 3.45 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarcelona SC to win43% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015% · fair 6.50
Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica preview and prediction
The match
Barcelona SC host Universidad Catolica in the Liga Pro on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha. Barcelona SC are 6th with 49 points from 35 games, while Universidad Catolica sit 3rd on 54 points.
Form guide
Barcelona SC's last 5: DDWDL Most recently they drew with Libertad 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Universidad Catolica's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Barcelona SC and 0.9 for Universidad Catolica. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barcelona SC 43%, draw 22%, Universidad Catolica 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Universidad Catolica to win at 3.45 – 35% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.25, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Barcelona SC 1–0 Universidad Catolica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barcelona SC43%fair 2.32 · @2.08
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.35
Universidad Catolica35%fair 2.85 · @3.45
1.89Expected goals
1.02Barcelona SC xG
0.87Universidad Catolica xG
55%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Barcelona SC 1.0 – 0.9 Universidad Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barcelona SC to win
43%
2.32
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.82
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
64%
1.57
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
62%
1.62
1.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
15%
6.50
–
Form
Barcelona SC – last 6
DDWDLL
19 Mar
@ Libertad
0–0
D
16 Mar
@ Guayaquil City FC
0–0
D
11 Mar
@ Botafogo
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs Botafogo
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Deportivo Cuenca
1–2
L
19 Feb
vs Argentinos JRS
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Universidad Catolica – last 3
WDL
17 Mar
vs Deportivo Cuenca
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ LDU de Quito
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Juventud
3–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barcelona SC and Universidad Catolica.
What is the prediction for Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica?
On our numbers Barcelona SC have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Universidad Catolica 35%.
How many goals will there be in Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica?
Our predicted score is Barcelona SC 1–0 Universidad Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica?
Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
