Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Emelec to win @ 2.95 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEmelec to win ✗40% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.17
Mushuc Runa SC vs Emelec preview and prediction
The match
Mushuc Runa SC host Emelec in the Liga Pro on Monday 23 March, with kick-off at 00:15 (WAT) at Estadio COAC Mushuc Runa. Mushuc Runa SC are 12th with 43 points from 36 games, while Emelec sit 10th on 45 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Mushuc Runa SC and 1.2 for Emelec. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mushuc Runa SC 35%, draw 26%, Emelec 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Emelec to win at 2.95 – 40% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Mushuc Runa SC 1–1 Emelec. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mushuc Runa SC35%fair 2.87 · @2.52
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.00
Emelec40%fair 2.53 · @2.95
2.27Expected goals
1.09Mushuc Runa SC xG
1.18Emelec xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Mushuc Runa SC 1.1 – 1.2 Emelec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Emelec to win✗
40%
2.53
2.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Emelec / FT Emelec✗
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.17
–
Form
Mushuc Runa SC – last 2
LD
19 Mar
@ Orense SC
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Macara
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Emelec – last 2
WD
20 Mar
vs Independiente del Valle
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Delfin SC
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mushuc Runa SC and Emelec.
What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa SC vs Emelec?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mushuc Runa SC vs Emelec?
On our numbers Mushuc Runa SC have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Emelec 40%.
How many goals will there be in Mushuc Runa SC vs Emelec?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mushuc Runa SC vs Emelec?
Our predicted score is Mushuc Runa SC 1–1 Emelec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Mushuc Runa SC vs Emelec?
Mushuc Runa SC vs Emelec (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 23 March 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio COAC Mushuc Runa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
