Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.62 – our chance 66% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMacara to win ✓61% · @1.68
Double chanceMacara or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓23% · fair 4.36
Macara vs Delfin SC preview and prediction
The match
Delfin SC travel to Estadio Bellavista in the Liga Pro on Wednesday 18 March (20:00 WAT) to face Macara. Macara are 2nd with 67 points from 36 games, while Delfin SC sit 14th on 38 points. A gap of 29 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Macara's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Mushuc Runa SC 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Delfin SC's last 4: WDWW Most recently they beat Guayaquil City FC 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Delfin SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.3 for Macara and 0.4 for Delfin SC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Macara 61%, draw 24%, Delfin SC 15%.
Safer route: Macara or draw (85%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.62 – 66% on our numbers against 62% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Macara 1–0 Delfin SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Macara61%fair 1.63 · @1.68
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.50
Delfin SC15%fair 6.77 · @5.30
1.74Expected goals
1.31Macara xG
0.43Delfin SC xG
47%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
0–018%
2–015%
1–110%
0–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Macara 1.3 – 0.4 Delfin SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Macara to win✓
61%
1.63
1.68
Double chance
Macara or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.62 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Macara / FT Macara✓
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
23%
4.36
–
Form
Macara – last 6
DDWWDL
15 Mar
@ Mushuc Runa SC
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Tecnico Universitario
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Orense SC
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ LDU de Quito
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Leones del Norte
0–0
D
14 Feb
vs Deportivo Cuenca
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Delfin SC – last 4
WDWW
7 Mar
vs Guayaquil City FC
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Emelec
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Deportivo Cuenca
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs LDU Portoviejo
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Macara and Delfin SC.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Macara vs Delfin SC?
On our numbers Macara have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Delfin SC 15%.
How many goals will there be in Macara vs Delfin SC?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Macara vs Delfin SC?
Our predicted score is Macara 1–0 Delfin SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Macara vs Delfin SC?
Macara vs Delfin SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
