Leones del Norte vs LDU de Quito prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
LDU de Quito or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: LDU de Quito to win @ 1.84 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLDU de Quito to win ✓64% · @1.84
Double chanceLDU de Quito or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.60
Leones del Norte vs LDU de Quito preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Leones del Norte take on LDU de Quito on Wednesday 18 March, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra. Leones del Norte are 9th with 47 points from 36 games, while LDU de Quito sit 4th on 54 points.
Form guide
LDU de Quito's last 4: DLLW Most recently they drew with Universidad Catolica 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.6 for Leones del Norte and 1.6 for LDU de Quito. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leones del Norte 14%, draw 22%, LDU de Quito 64%.
Safer route: LDU de Quito or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.65.
Value angle: LDU de Quito to win at 1.84 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was LDU de Quito or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Leones del Norte 0–1 LDU de Quito. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leones del Norte14%fair 7.09 · @4.50
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
LDU de Quito64%fair 1.56 · @1.84
2.21Expected goals
0.58Leones del Norte xG
1.63LDU de Quito xG
47%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–215%
0–011%
1–110%
1–28%
0–38%
From our goals model: Leones del Norte 0.6 – 1.6 LDU de Quito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
LDU de Quito to win✓
64%
1.56
1.84 ▲
Double chance
LDU de Quito or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT LDU de Quito / FT LDU de Quito✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.60
–
Form
Leones del Norte – last 2
DD
14 Mar
@ Deportivo Cuenca
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Macara
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
LDU de Quito – last 4
DLLW
15 Mar
vs Universidad Catolica
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Libertad
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Macara
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Orense SC
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leones del Norte and LDU de Quito.
What is the prediction for Leones del Norte vs LDU de Quito?
Our pick is LDU de Quito or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Leones del Norte vs LDU de Quito?
On our numbers Leones del Norte have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and LDU de Quito 64%.
How many goals will there be in Leones del Norte vs LDU de Quito?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones del Norte vs LDU de Quito?
Our predicted score is Leones del Norte 0–1 LDU de Quito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Leones del Norte vs LDU de Quito?
Leones del Norte vs LDU de Quito (Liga Pro) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
