Value bet: Macara to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMacara to win ✗39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.09
Mushuc Runa SC vs Macara preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Mushuc Runa SC take on Macara on Sunday 15 March, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio COAC Mushuc Runa. Mushuc Runa SC are 12th with 43 points from 36 games, while Macara sit 2nd on 67 points. A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Macara's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Tecnico Universitario 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.6 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.8 for Mushuc Runa SC and 0.9 for Macara. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 77% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mushuc Runa SC 35%, draw 26%, Macara 39%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Macara to win at 2.90 – 39% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: Mushuc Runa SC 0–0 Macara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mushuc Runa SC35%fair 2.86 · @2.38
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.80
Macara39%fair 2.55 · @2.90
1.67Expected goals
0.80Mushuc Runa SC xG
0.87Macara xG
45%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–019%
0–116%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Mushuc Runa SC 0.8 – 0.9 Macara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Macara to win✗
39%
2.55
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.09
–
Form
Mushuc Runa SC
No recent results on record.
Macara – last 5
DWWDL
8 Mar
vs Tecnico Universitario
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Orense SC
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ LDU de Quito
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Leones del Norte
0–0
D
14 Feb
vs Deportivo Cuenca
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mushuc Runa SC and Macara.
What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa SC vs Macara?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Mushuc Runa SC vs Macara?
On our numbers Mushuc Runa SC have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Macara 39%.
How many goals will there be in Mushuc Runa SC vs Macara?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mushuc Runa SC vs Macara?
Our predicted score is Mushuc Runa SC 0–0 Macara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Mushuc Runa SC vs Macara?
Mushuc Runa SC vs Macara (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio COAC Mushuc Runa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
