LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
LDU de Quito or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: LDU de Quito to win @ 1.70 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLDU de Quito to win ✗63% · @1.70
Double chanceLDU de Quito or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.62
LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees LDU de Quito take on Universidad Catolica on Sunday 15 March, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado. LDU de Quito are 4th with 54 points from 36 games, while Universidad Catolica sit 3rd on 54 points. Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
LDU de Quito's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Libertad 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for LDU de Quito and 0.6 for Universidad Catolica. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: LDU de Quito 63%, draw 24%, Universidad Catolica 14%.
Safer route: LDU de Quito or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.67.
Value angle: LDU de Quito to win at 1.70 – 63% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was LDU de Quito or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: LDU de Quito 1–0 Universidad Catolica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
LDU de Quito63%fair 1.60 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.40
Universidad Catolica14%fair 7.16 · @4.00
2.20Expected goals
1.61LDU de Quito xG
0.59Universidad Catolica xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: LDU de Quito 1.6 – 0.6 Universidad Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
LDU de Quito to win✗
63%
1.60
1.70 ▲
Double chance
LDU de Quito or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT LDU de Quito / FT LDU de Quito✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.62
–
Form
LDU de Quito – last 3
LLW
8 Mar
@ Libertad
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Macara
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Orense SC
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Universidad Catolica – last 1
L
13 Feb
vs Juventud
3–4
L
3.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between LDU de Quito and Universidad Catolica.
What is the prediction for LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica?
Our pick is LDU de Quito or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica?
On our numbers LDU de Quito have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Universidad Catolica 14%.
How many goals will there be in LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica?
Our predicted score is LDU de Quito 1–0 Universidad Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica?
LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
