Independiente del Valle vs Aucas prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Independiente del Valle to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.53
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndependiente del Valle to win60% · @1.53
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018% · fair 5.71
Independiente del Valle vs Aucas preview and prediction
The match
Independiente del Valle host Aucas in the Liga Pro on Saturday 14 March, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil. Independiente del Valle are 1st with 84 points from 35 games, while Aucas sit 5th on 54 points. A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Independiente del Valle and 0.6 for Aucas. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Independiente del Valle 60%, draw 23%, Aucas 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Independiente del Valle to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Independiente del Valle 1–0 Aucas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independiente del Valle60%fair 1.66 · @1.53
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.60
Aucas17%fair 6.01 · @5.00
2.17Expected goals
1.53Independiente del Valle xG
0.64Aucas xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–013%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Independiente del Valle 1.5 – 0.6 Aucas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win
60%
1.66
1.53
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw
83%
1.20
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
18%
5.71
–
Form
Independiente del Valle – last 2
WW
3 Mar
@ Manta FC
2–0
W
23 Feb
vs Guayaquil City FC
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Aucas – last 1
L
8 Mar
vs Deportivo Cuenca
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente del Valle and Aucas.
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Aucas?
Our pick is Independiente del Valle to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Aucas?
On our numbers Independiente del Valle have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aucas 17%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente del Valle vs Aucas?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente del Valle vs Aucas?
Our predicted score is Independiente del Valle 1–0 Aucas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Independiente del Valle vs Aucas?
Independiente del Valle vs Aucas (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
