Deportivo Cuenca vs Leones del Norte prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Deportivo Cuenca to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Cuenca to win ✗67% · @1.65
Double chanceDeportivo Cuenca or draw ✓90% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗26% · fair 3.86
Deportivo Cuenca vs Leones del Norte preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Cuenca host Leones del Norte in the Liga Pro on Saturday 14 March, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Alejandro Serrano Aguilar. Deportivo Cuenca are 11th with 47 points from 36 games, while Leones del Norte sit 9th on 47 points. Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Deportivo Cuenca's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Aucas 1–0 away. They average 1.6 scored and 0.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.4 for Deportivo Cuenca and 0.3 for Leones del Norte. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 77% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo Cuenca 67%, draw 23%, Leones del Norte 10%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Deportivo Cuenca to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 Leones del Norte. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Cuenca67%fair 1.49 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.20
Leones del Norte10%fair 10.11 · @5.00
1.67Expected goals
1.38Deportivo Cuenca xG
0.29Leones del Norte xG
45%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–026%
0–019%
2–018%
3–08%
1–18%
0–16%
From our goals model: Deportivo Cuenca 1.4 – 0.3 Leones del Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Cuenca to win✗
67%
1.49
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Deportivo Cuenca or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Cuenca / FT Deportivo Cuenca✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
26%
3.86
–
Form
Deportivo Cuenca – last 5
WWWLW
8 Mar
@ Aucas
1–0
W
5 Mar
vs Libertad
3–0
W
1 Mar
vs Barcelona SC
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Delfin SC
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Macara
2–1
W
1.6Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Leones del Norte – last 1
D
22 Feb
@ Macara
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Cuenca and Leones del Norte.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca vs Leones del Norte?
Our pick is Deportivo Cuenca to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs Leones del Norte?
On our numbers Deportivo Cuenca have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Leones del Norte 10%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cuenca vs Leones del Norte?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cuenca vs Leones del Norte?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 Leones del Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Cuenca vs Leones del Norte?
Deportivo Cuenca vs Leones del Norte (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
