Luanda Villa vs Darajani Gogo prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Luanda Villa or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Luanda Villa to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLuanda Villa to win ✓61% · @1.91
Double chanceLuanda Villa or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓21% · fair 4.84
Luanda Villa vs Darajani Gogo preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Luanda Villa take on Darajani Gogo on Sunday 3 May, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Luanda Villa's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Kisumu All Stars 2–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Darajani Gogo's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Nzoia Sugar 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Luanda Villa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.7 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Luanda Villa and 0.5 for Darajani Gogo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Luanda Villa 61%, draw 26%, Darajani Gogo 13%.
Safer route: Luanda Villa or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Luanda Villa to win at 1.91 – 61% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Luanda Villa or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Luanda Villa 1–0 Darajani Gogo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Luanda Villa61%fair 1.63 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.10
Darajani Gogo13%fair 7.74 · @3.70
1.95Expected goals
1.45Luanda Villa xG
0.50Darajani Gogo xG
38%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
2–015%
0–014%
1–110%
2–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Luanda Villa 1.5 – 0.5 Darajani Gogo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Luanda Villa to win✓
61%
1.63
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Luanda Villa or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Luanda Villa / FT Luanda Villa✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
21%
4.84
–
Form
Luanda Villa – last 6
WLDLLL
26 Apr
@ Kisumu All Stars
2–0
W
19 Apr
vs Kibera Black Stars
0–1
L
10 Apr
@ MOFA
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Migori Youth
0–3
L
28 Feb
@ Naivas
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Talanta
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Darajani Gogo – last 6
LLDLLL
19 Apr
@ Nzoia Sugar
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Fortune Sacco
0–4
L
21 Mar
vs 3K
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Talanta
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Kibera Black Stars
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Migori Youth
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Luanda Villa and Darajani Gogo.
What is the prediction for Luanda Villa vs Darajani Gogo?
Our pick is Luanda Villa or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Luanda Villa vs Darajani Gogo?
On our numbers Luanda Villa have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Darajani Gogo 13%.
How many goals will there be in Luanda Villa vs Darajani Gogo?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Luanda Villa vs Darajani Gogo?
Our predicted score is Luanda Villa 1–0 Darajani Gogo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Luanda Villa vs Darajani Gogo?
Luanda Villa vs Darajani Gogo (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mombasa Elite0
Migori Youth0