Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Than Quang Ninh to win @ 1.90 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultThan Quang Ninh to win ✗56% · @1.90
Double chanceThan Quang Ninh or draw ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.94
Long An vs Than Quang Ninh preview and prediction
The match
Long An host Than Quang Ninh in the V.League 2 on Saturday 2 May, with kick-off at 10:00 (WAT). Long An are 11th with 14 points from 22 games (in the bottom three), while Than Quang Ninh sit 9th on 26 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Long An's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Hồ Chí Minh II 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Than Quang Ninh's last 5: WDDDD Most recently they beat Ho Chi Minh 3–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Than Quang Ninh arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.7 for Long An and 1.5 for Than Quang Ninh. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Long An 19%, draw 25%, Than Quang Ninh 56%.
Safer route: Than Quang Ninh or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Value angle: Than Quang Ninh to win at 1.90 – 56% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Than Quang Ninh or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Long An 0–1 Than Quang Ninh. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Long An19%fair 5.24 · @3.70
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.10
Than Quang Ninh56%fair 1.78 · @1.90
2.16Expected goals
0.70Long An xG
1.46Than Quang Ninh xG
41%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–212%
1–112%
0–012%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Long An 0.7 – 1.5 Than Quang Ninh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Than Quang Ninh to win✗
56%
1.78
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Than Quang Ninh or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Than Quang Ninh / FT Than Quang Ninh✗
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.94
–
Form
Long An – last 6
LLLLLL
26 Apr
@ Hồ Chí Minh II
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Xuan Thien Phu Tho
0–4
L
11 Apr
vs Văn Hiến
0–1
L
4 Apr
vs Bắc Ninh
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ PVF-CAND
1–2
L
6 Mar
vs Xuan Thien Phu Tho
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Than Quang Ninh – last 6
WDDDDL
25 Apr
vs Ho Chi Minh
3–1
W
12 Apr
vs Bắc Ninh
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ Văn Hiến
1–1
D
14 Mar
vs Xuan Thien Phu Tho
0–0
D
6 Mar
vs Bình Phước
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ Bắc Ninh
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Long An and Than Quang Ninh.
What is the prediction for Long An vs Than Quang Ninh?
Our pick is Than Quang Ninh or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Long An vs Than Quang Ninh?
On our numbers Long An have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Than Quang Ninh 56%.
How many goals will there be in Long An vs Than Quang Ninh?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Long An vs Than Quang Ninh?
Our predicted score is Long An 0–1 Than Quang Ninh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Long An vs Than Quang Ninh?
Long An vs Than Quang Ninh (V.League 2) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
