Value bet: Song Lam Nghe An to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBinh Duong to win ✗42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.15
Binh Duong vs Song Lam Nghe An preview and prediction
The match
Binh Duong host Song Lam Nghe An in the V.League 1 on Sunday 24 May, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Go Dau Stadium. Binh Duong are 14th with 24 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Song Lam Nghe An sit 9th on 27 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Binh Duong's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Da Nang 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Song Lam Nghe An's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Ho Chi Minh 1–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Binh Duong arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Binh Duong and 1.3 for Song Lam Nghe An. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Binh Duong 42%, draw 23%, Song Lam Nghe An 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Song Lam Nghe An to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Binh Duong 1–1 Song Lam Nghe An. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Binh Duong42%fair 2.39 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.45
Song Lam Nghe An36%fair 2.81 · @3.10
2.79Expected goals
1.47Binh Duong xG
1.33Song Lam Nghe An xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Binh Duong 1.5 – 1.3 Song Lam Nghe An expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Binh Duong to win✗
42%
2.39
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Binh Duong / FT Binh Duong✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.15
–
Form
Binh Duong – last 6
LDLLDW
8 May
@ Da Nang
0–2
L
2 May
vs Thanh Hóa
1–1
D
17 Apr
@ Ha Noi
2–4
L
12 Apr
vs Phu Dong
1–2
L
4 Apr
@ Pho Hien
1–1
D
14 Mar
vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Song Lam Nghe An – last 6
LLLDDL
10 May
@ Ho Chi Minh
1–3
L
3 May
vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ Công An Nhân Dân
2–4
L
19 Apr
@ Thanh Hóa
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Viettel
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Ha Noi
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Binh Duong and Song Lam Nghe An.
What is the prediction for Binh Duong vs Song Lam Nghe An?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Binh Duong vs Song Lam Nghe An?
On our numbers Binh Duong have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Song Lam Nghe An 36%.
How many goals will there be in Binh Duong vs Song Lam Nghe An?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Binh Duong vs Song Lam Nghe An?
Our predicted score is Binh Duong 1–1 Song Lam Nghe An, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Binh Duong vs Song Lam Nghe An?
Binh Duong vs Song Lam Nghe An (V.League 1) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Go Dau Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.