Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHoang Anh Gia Lai to win ✗40% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.56
Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh preview and prediction
The match
The V.League 1 sees Hoang Anh Gia Lai take on Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Pleiku Stadium. Hoang Anh Gia Lai are 10th with 26 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh sit 8th on 29 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hoang Anh Gia Lai's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Pho Hien 1–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Viettel 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Hoang Anh Gia Lai arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Hoang Anh Gia Lai and 1.0 for Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hoang Anh Gia Lai 40%, draw 25%, Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.93.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1–1 Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hoang Anh Gia Lai40%fair 2.51 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh35%fair 2.86 · @2.80
2.13Expected goals
1.11Hoang Anh Gia Lai xG
1.02Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1.1 – 1.0 Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hoang Anh Gia Lai to win✗
40%
2.51
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hoang Anh Gia Lai / FT Hoang Anh Gia Lai✗
21%
4.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.56
–
Form
Hoang Anh Gia Lai – last 6
LWDLLD
10 May
vs Pho Hien
1–2
L
3 May
@ Song Lam Nghe An
1–0
W
24 Apr
vs Hai Phong
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Viettel
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Phu Dong
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Da Nang
3–3
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh – last 6
LDLLLL
10 May
vs Viettel
0–2
L
2 May
@ Pho Hien
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Ho Chi Minh
0–1
L
12 Apr
@ Ha Noi
0–3
L
5 Apr
vs Nam Dinh
0–2
L
14 Mar
@ Binh Duong
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hoang Anh Gia Lai and Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh.
What is the prediction for Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh?
On our numbers Hoang Anh Gia Lai have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 35%.
How many goals will there be in Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh?
Our predicted score is Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1–1 Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh?
Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh (V.League 1) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Pleiku Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
