Value bet: Song Lam Nghe An to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHo Chi Minh to win ✓40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.13
Ho Chi Minh vs Song Lam Nghe An preview and prediction
The match
Song Lam Nghe An travel to face Ho Chi Minh in the V.League 1 on Sunday 10 May (12:00 WAT). Ho Chi Minh are 5th with 36 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Song Lam Nghe An sit 9th on 27 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Ho Chi Minh's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Long An 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Song Lam Nghe An's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Hoang Anh Gia Lai 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Ho Chi Minh and 1.2 for Song Lam Nghe An. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ho Chi Minh 40%, draw 24%, Song Lam Nghe An 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Song Lam Nghe An to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Ho Chi Minh 1–1 Song Lam Nghe An. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ho Chi Minh40%fair 2.47 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.20
Song Lam Nghe An36%fair 2.81 · @3.10
2.46Expected goals
1.28Ho Chi Minh xG
1.18Song Lam Nghe An xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Ho Chi Minh 1.3 – 1.2 Song Lam Nghe An expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ho Chi Minh to win✓
40%
2.47
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ho Chi Minh / FT Ho Chi Minh✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.13
–
Form
Ho Chi Minh – last 6
DWLWLL
9 May
vs Long An
0–0
D
3 May
vs Binh Dinh
3–0
W
1 May
@ Nam Dinh
0–2
L
26 Apr
@ Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh
1–0
W
25 Apr
@ Than Quang Ninh
1–3
L
19 Apr
vs Công An Nhân Dân
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Song Lam Nghe An – last 6
LLDDLW
3 May
vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ Công An Nhân Dân
2–4
L
19 Apr
@ Thanh Hóa
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Viettel
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Ha Noi
0–3
L
7 Mar
vs Hai Phong
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ho Chi Minh and Song Lam Nghe An.
What is the prediction for Ho Chi Minh vs Song Lam Nghe An?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ho Chi Minh vs Song Lam Nghe An?
On our numbers Ho Chi Minh have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Song Lam Nghe An 36%.
How many goals will there be in Ho Chi Minh vs Song Lam Nghe An?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ho Chi Minh vs Song Lam Nghe An?
Our predicted score is Ho Chi Minh 1–1 Song Lam Nghe An, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ho Chi Minh vs Song Lam Nghe An?
Ho Chi Minh vs Song Lam Nghe An (V.League 1) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
