Công An Nhân Dân vs Song Lam Nghe An prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCông An Nhân Dân to win ✓71% · @1.18
Double chanceCông An Nhân Dân or draw ✓88% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.19
Công An Nhân Dân vs Song Lam Nghe An preview and prediction
The match
Song Lam Nghe An travel to Hang Day Stadium in the V.League 1 on Sunday 26 April (13:15 WAT) to face Công An Nhân Dân. Công An Nhân Dân are 1st with 64 points from 26 games (top of the table), while Song Lam Nghe An sit 9th on 27 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 37 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Công An Nhân Dân's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Ho Chi Minh 3–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Song Lam Nghe An's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Thanh Hóa 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Công An Nhân Dân arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Công An Nhân Dân and 0.8 for Song Lam Nghe An. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Công An Nhân Dân 71%, draw 16%, Song Lam Nghe An 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 55% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Công An Nhân Dân 2–0 Song Lam Nghe An. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Công An Nhân Dân71%fair 1.40 · @1.18
Draw16%fair 6.15 · @6.00
Song Lam Nghe An12%fair 8.05 · @11.00
3.02Expected goals
2.24Công An Nhân Dân xG
0.78Song Lam Nghe An xG
55%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Công An Nhân Dân 2.2 – 0.8 Song Lam Nghe An expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Công An Nhân Dân to win✓
71%
1.40
1.18
Double chance
Công An Nhân Dân or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.65
Half-time result
Công An Nhân Dân ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Công An Nhân Dân / FT Công An Nhân Dân✓
47%
2.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.19
–
Form
Công An Nhân Dân – last 6
WDWWWL
19 Apr
@ Ho Chi Minh
3–0
W
12 Apr
@ Pho Hien
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Da Nang
5–1
W
22 Mar
@ Da Nang
1–0
W
14 Mar
@ Phu Dong
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Ha Noi
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Song Lam Nghe An – last 5
DDLWW
19 Apr
@ Thanh Hóa
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Viettel
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Ha Noi
0–3
L
7 Mar
vs Hai Phong
1–0
W
28 Feb
@ Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Công An Nhân Dân and Song Lam Nghe An.
What is the prediction for Công An Nhân Dân vs Song Lam Nghe An?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Công An Nhân Dân vs Song Lam Nghe An?
On our numbers Công An Nhân Dân have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Song Lam Nghe An 12%.
How many goals will there be in Công An Nhân Dân vs Song Lam Nghe An?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Công An Nhân Dân vs Song Lam Nghe An?
Our predicted score is Công An Nhân Dân 2–0 Song Lam Nghe An, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Công An Nhân Dân vs Song Lam Nghe An?
Công An Nhân Dân vs Song Lam Nghe An (V.League 1) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Hang Day Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
