Value bet: Hai Phong to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHai Phong to win ✗38% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Hai Phong preview and prediction
The match
Hoang Anh Gia Lai host Hai Phong in the V.League 1 on Friday 24 April, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Pleiku Stadium. Hoang Anh Gia Lai are 10th with 26 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Hai Phong sit 7th on 32 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Hoang Anh Gia Lai's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Viettel 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Hai Phong's last 4: WLLD Most recently they beat Ha Noi 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Hai Phong arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Hoang Anh Gia Lai and 1.3 for Hai Phong. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hoang Anh Gia Lai 38%, draw 24%, Hai Phong 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Hai Phong to win at 2.80 – 38% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1–1 Hai Phong. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hoang Anh Gia Lai38%fair 2.65 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.10
Hai Phong38%fair 2.63 · @2.80
2.59Expected goals
1.29Hoang Anh Gia Lai xG
1.30Hai Phong xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1.3 – 1.3 Hai Phong expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hai Phong to win✗
38%
2.63
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hai Phong / FT Hai Phong✗
21%
4.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.29
–
Form
Hoang Anh Gia Lai – last 5
LLDLL
19 Apr
@ Viettel
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Phu Dong
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Da Nang
3–3
D
7 Mar
vs Ho Chi Minh
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Công An Nhân Dân
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Hai Phong – last 4
WLLD
4 Apr
vs Ha Noi
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Viettel
0–1
L
7 Mar
@ Song Lam Nghe An
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Thanh Hóa
3–3
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hoang Anh Gia Lai and Hai Phong.
What is the prediction for Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Hai Phong?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Hai Phong?
On our numbers Hoang Anh Gia Lai have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hai Phong 38%.
How many goals will there be in Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Hai Phong?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Hai Phong?
Our predicted score is Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1–1 Hai Phong, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Hai Phong?
Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Hai Phong (V.League 1) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Pleiku Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
