Value bet: Binh Duong to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHo Chi Minh to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.68
Ho Chi Minh vs Binh Duong preview and prediction
The match
Binh Duong travel to Thong Nhat Stadium in the V.League 1 on Sunday 1 March (13:15 WAT) to face Ho Chi Minh. Ho Chi Minh are 5th with 36 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Binh Duong sit 14th on 24 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Ho Chi Minh and 1.2 for Binh Duong. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ho Chi Minh 45%, draw 22%, Binh Duong 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Binh Duong to win at 3.30 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Ho Chi Minh 1–1 Binh Duong. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ho Chi Minh45%fair 2.24 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.20
Binh Duong33%fair 3.00 · @3.30
2.63Expected goals
1.44Ho Chi Minh xG
1.19Binh Duong xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
2–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: Ho Chi Minh 1.4 – 1.2 Binh Duong expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ho Chi Minh to win✗
45%
2.24
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ho Chi Minh / FT Ho Chi Minh✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.68
–
Form
Ho Chi Minh – last 1
L
1 Mar
@ Xuan Thien Phu Tho
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Binh Duong
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ho Chi Minh and Binh Duong.
What is the prediction for Ho Chi Minh vs Binh Duong?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Ho Chi Minh vs Binh Duong?
On our numbers Ho Chi Minh have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Binh Duong 33%.
How many goals will there be in Ho Chi Minh vs Binh Duong?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ho Chi Minh vs Binh Duong?
Our predicted score is Ho Chi Minh 1–1 Binh Duong, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ho Chi Minh vs Binh Duong?
Ho Chi Minh vs Binh Duong (V.League 1) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Thong Nhat Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
