Công An Nhân Dân vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCông An Nhân Dân to win ✓69% · @1.15
Double chanceCông An Nhân Dân or draw ✓89% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Công An Nhân Dân vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai preview and prediction
The match
The V.League 1 sees Công An Nhân Dân take on Hoang Anh Gia Lai on Saturday 28 February, kicking off at 13:15 (WAT) at Hang Day Stadium. Công An Nhân Dân are 1st with 64 points from 26 games (top of the table), while Hoang Anh Gia Lai sit 10th on 26 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 38 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.2 for Công An Nhân Dân and 0.8 for Hoang Anh Gia Lai. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Công An Nhân Dân 69%, draw 20%, Hoang Anh Gia Lai 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 54% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Công An Nhân Dân 2–0 Hoang Anh Gia Lai. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Công An Nhân Dân69%fair 1.45 · @1.15
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @6.40
Hoang Anh Gia Lai11%fair 8.97 · @14.00
2.95Expected goals
2.18Công An Nhân Dân xG
0.77Hoang Anh Gia Lai xG
54%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Công An Nhân Dân 2.2 – 0.8 Hoang Anh Gia Lai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Công An Nhân Dân to win✓
69%
1.45
1.15
Double chance
Công An Nhân Dân or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.67
Half-time result
Công An Nhân Dân ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Công An Nhân Dân / FT Công An Nhân Dân✗
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.45
–
Form
Công An Nhân Dân – last 2
WL
24 Feb
@ Thanh Hóa
3–1
W
18 Feb
@ Tampines Rovers
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Hoang Anh Gia Lai
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Công An Nhân Dân and Hoang Anh Gia Lai.
What is the prediction for Công An Nhân Dân vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Công An Nhân Dân vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai?
On our numbers Công An Nhân Dân have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hoang Anh Gia Lai 11%.
How many goals will there be in Công An Nhân Dân vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Công An Nhân Dân vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai?
Our predicted score is Công An Nhân Dân 2–0 Hoang Anh Gia Lai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Công An Nhân Dân vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai?
Công An Nhân Dân vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai (V.League 1) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Hang Day Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
