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New South Wales NPL · Australia · Lambert Park

APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Blacktown City prediction & analysis

70%
Footrivo pick

APIA Leichhardt Tigers to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.48Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultAPIA Leichhardt Tigers to win ✓70% · @1.48
Double chanceAPIA Leichhardt Tigers or draw ✓88% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54

APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Blacktown City preview and prediction

The match

Blacktown City travel to Lambert Park in the New South Wales NPL on Saturday 7 March (07:00 WAT) to face APIA Leichhardt Tigers.

Form guide

APIA Leichhardt Tigers's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat Wollongong Wolves 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.

Blacktown City's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Sutherland Sharks 2–3 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.

APIA Leichhardt Tigers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.3.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.5 for APIA Leichhardt Tigers and 0.9 for Blacktown City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was APIA Leichhardt Tigers to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.48, above our fair price of 1.43, so there is value in it. Predicted score: APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2–0 Blacktown City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

APIA Leichhardt Tigers70%fair 1.43 · @1.48
Draw19%fair 5.34 · @4.20
Blacktown City12%fair 8.68 · @5.25
3.40Expected goals
2.46APIA Leichhardt Tigers xG
0.94Blacktown City xG
61%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–010%
2–19%
3–08%
1–08%
3–18%
1–18%

From our goals model: APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2.5 – 0.9 Blacktown City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAPIA Leichhardt Tigers to win ✓70%1.431.48
Double chanceAPIA Leichhardt Tigers or draw ✓88%1.131.09
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.631.53
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.541.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗56%1.781.65
Half-time resultAPIA Leichhardt Tigers ahead at half-time ✓52%1.91–
Half-time / full-timeHT APIA Leichhardt Tigers / FT APIA Leichhardt Tigers ✓48%2.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.54–

Form

APIA Leichhardt Tigers – last 3

WDW
28 Febvs Wollongong Wolves2–0W
20 Feb@ Manly United2–2D
14 Febvs NWS Spirit3–2W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Blacktown City – last 3

LLD
1 Marvs Sutherland Sharks2–3L
21 Feb@ Rockdale City Suns2–3L
14 Febvs Manly United0–0D
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between APIA Leichhardt Tigers and Blacktown City.

APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Blacktown City head-to-head page →

More New South Wales NPL predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Blacktown City?

Our pick is APIA Leichhardt Tigers to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Blacktown City?

On our numbers APIA Leichhardt Tigers have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Blacktown City 12%.

How many goals will there be in APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Blacktown City?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Blacktown City?

Our predicted score is APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2–0 Blacktown City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Blacktown City?

APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Blacktown City (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Lambert Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.