St. George Saints vs Manly United prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
St. George Saints or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: St. George Saints to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt. George Saints to win ✓57% · @1.91
Double chanceSt. George Saints or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.66
St. George Saints vs Manly United preview and prediction
The match
The New South Wales NPL sees St. George Saints take on Manly United on Saturday 7 March, kicking off at 08:30 (WAT) at St George Stadium.
Form guide
St. George Saints's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat UNSW 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Manly United's last 3: LDD Most recently they lost to Sydney United 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
St. George Saints arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for St. George Saints and 0.7 for Manly United. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 57% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: St. George Saints 57%, draw 23%, Manly United 20%.
Safer route: St. George Saints or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.70.
Value angle: St. George Saints to win at 1.91 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was St. George Saints or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: St. George Saints 1–0 Manly United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St. George Saints57%fair 1.75 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.40
Manly United20%fair 5.06 · @3.50
2.15Expected goals
1.45St. George Saints xG
0.70Manly United xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–012%
1–112%
0–012%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: St. George Saints 1.5 – 0.7 Manly United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St. George Saints to win✓
57%
1.75
1.91 ▲
Double chance
St. George Saints or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St. George Saints / FT St. George Saints✗
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.66
–
Form
St. George Saints – last 3
WWD
28 Feb
vs UNSW
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ Sutherland Sharks
1–0
W
14 Feb
@ St George City FA
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Manly United – last 3
LDD
27 Feb
@ Sydney United
0–2
L
20 Feb
vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers
2–2
D
14 Feb
@ Blacktown City
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St. George Saints and Manly United.
What is the prediction for St. George Saints vs Manly United?
Our pick is St. George Saints or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win St. George Saints vs Manly United?
On our numbers St. George Saints have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Manly United 20%.
How many goals will there be in St. George Saints vs Manly United?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. George Saints vs Manly United?
Our predicted score is St. George Saints 1–0 Manly United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is St. George Saints vs Manly United?
St. George Saints vs Manly United (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at St George Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.