York United vs Atlético Ottawa prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Atlético Ottawa to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlético Ottawa to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.29
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.46
York United vs Atlético Ottawa preview and prediction
The match
York United host Atlético Ottawa in the Canadian Premier League on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at York Lions Stadium. York United are 6th with 30 points from 28 games (in the bottom three), while Atlético Ottawa sit 3rd on 43 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
York United's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Supra du Quebec 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Atlético Ottawa's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Forge 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Atlético Ottawa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 August 2026, finished Atlético Ottawa 2–1 York United. Across their last 3 meetings York United have won 1, Atlético Ottawa 1, with 1 draw and 3.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 3 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.3 for York United and 2.2 for Atlético Ottawa. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 70%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: York United 23%, draw 17%, Atlético Ottawa 61%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.29.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atlético Ottawa to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: York United 1–2 Atlético Ottawa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
York United23%fair 4.39 · @2.90
Draw17%fair 6.04 · @3.70
Atlético Ottawa61%fair 1.65 · @1.95
3.48Expected goals
1.26York United xG
2.22Atlético Ottawa xG
70%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: York United 1.3 – 2.2 Atlético Ottawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for York United vs Atlético Ottawa?
Our pick is Atlético Ottawa to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win York United vs Atlético Ottawa?
On our numbers York United have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Atlético Ottawa 61%.
How many goals will there be in York United vs Atlético Ottawa?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for York United vs Atlético Ottawa?
Our predicted score is York United 1–2 Atlético Ottawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is York United vs Atlético Ottawa?
York United vs Atlético Ottawa (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at York Lions Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
