HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Supra du Quebec or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Supra du Quebec to win @ 1.73 – our chance 65% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSupra du Quebec to win ✓65% · @1.73
Double chanceSupra du Quebec or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.22
HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec preview and prediction
The match
HFX Wanderers FC host Supra du Quebec in the Canadian Premier League on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Wanderers Grounds. HFX Wanderers FC are 7th with 28 points from 28 games (in the bottom three), while Supra du Quebec sit 4th on 38 points (in the top four).
Form guide
HFX Wanderers FC's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Vancouver FC 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Supra du Quebec's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat York United 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Supra du Quebec arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 September 2026, finished Supra du Quebec 0–2 HFX Wanderers FC. Across their last 3 meetings HFX Wanderers FC have won 1, Supra du Quebec 2, with 0 draws and 3.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.0 for HFX Wanderers FC and 2.3 for Supra du Quebec. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: HFX Wanderers FC 14%, draw 21%, Supra du Quebec 65%.
Safer route: Supra du Quebec or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Supra du Quebec to win at 1.73 – 65% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Supra du Quebec or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: HFX Wanderers FC 1–2 Supra du Quebec. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
HFX Wanderers FC14%fair 7.23 · @3.80
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.50
Supra du Quebec65%fair 1.54 · @1.73
3.28Expected goals
1.00HFX Wanderers FC xG
2.28Supra du Quebec xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–210%
1–19%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: HFX Wanderers FC 1.0 – 2.3 Supra du Quebec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec?
Our pick is Supra du Quebec or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec?
On our numbers HFX Wanderers FC have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Supra du Quebec 65%.
How many goals will there be in HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec?
Our predicted score is HFX Wanderers FC 1–2 Supra du Quebec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec?
HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Wanderers Grounds.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
